Texas Tech is ranked 15th while Oklahoma State is ranked 18th and the Red Raiders are at home yet they have moved from a 1 point favorite to a 1.5 point under dog. We have seen this move in the past by Vegas and it usually ends up in a bad way for the home team. Tech just came off an emotional loss at Oklahoma where they played better than I think most people think, but getting up like that for a second game in a row is going to be hard. While Oklahoma State has one blemish on their schedule which was a loss to West Virginia on the road. So wait a minute Tech beat West Virginia by 10 on the road, why are they under dogs in their own building?
Tech has yet to beat a team that will end up in a bowl unless West Virginia or TCU make a run. Oklahoma State just has much more balance with the passing game and now at running back as they found the 6-2 Desmond Roland who has size and speed. Roland will take this game over after a week where he had 26 carries for 219 yards. It's much harder to stop an offense that can beat you with the pass and the run. Tech can not do that. They are 4th passing the ball 64% of the time while Oklahoma State is great against the pass holding opponents to 9 passing TD's and 13 interceptions. They are 7th in pass efficiency defense and have a better shot at getting off the field on third down and holding Texas Tech to FG's instead of TD's.
Last but not least this game is going to be decided by turnovers. Oklahoma State always seems to have a knack for turning teams over as they are +9 in TO margin while Texas Tech is -6.
